Publications

In Preparation

Wu, X., A. T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, 2025: “Understanding and improving ENSO simulation via mean-state bias corrections”

Yeager, S. G., Y. Li, X. Wu, G. A. Meehl, N. A. Rosenbloom, A. A. Glanville, J. H. Richter, L. Van Roekel, and W. Hannah, 2025: “Efficient drift correction of initialized Earth system predictions.” J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., in revision

Wu, X., A. T. Wittenberg, F. Zeng, B. G. Reichl, and F. Lu, 2025: “Tracing coupled GCM equatorial Pacific climatological biases via surface flux adjustments,” J. Adv. Model. Earth Syst., accepted. preprint
Lawman, A., et al., 2025: “Mechanisms driving the global tropical response to a weakened AMOC,” Quat. Sci. Rev., 369, 109567. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2025.109567
DiNezio, P. N., et al., 2025: “Tropical response to ocean circulation slowdown raises future drought risk,” Nature. doi:10.1038/s41586-025-09319-x
Miao, J., et al., 2025: “Revisiting unstable ENSO teleconnections from a global perspective,” J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 130, e2025JD043757. doi:10.1029/2025JD043757

Wu, X., S. G. Yeager, C. Deser, A. Capotondi, A. T. Wittenberg, and M. J. McPhaden, 2024: “Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability is dominated by oceanic Rossby waves,” npj Clim. and Atmos. Sci., 7, 292. doi:10.1038/s41612-024-00851-7
Bilbao, R., et al., 2024: “Impact of volcanic eruptions on CMIP6 decadal predictions: A multi-model analysis,” Earth Syst. Dynam., 15, 501–525. doi:10.5194/esd-15-501-2024

Wu, X., 2023: “Long La Niña events could rise in frequency as the planet warms,” Nature, 619, 702–703. (Invited commentary). doi:10.1038/d41586-023-02331-z · open access
Wu, X., S. G. Yeager, C. Deser, N. Rosenbloom, and G. A. Meehl, 2023: “Volcanic forcing degrades multiyear-to-decadal prediction skill in the tropical Pacific,” Science Advances. doi:10.1126/sciadv.add9364
Maher, N., et al., 2023: “The future of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation: Using large ensembles to illuminate time-varying responses,” Earth Syst. Dynam., 14, 413–431. doi:10.5194/esd-14-413-2023

Yeager, S. G., et al., 2022: “The Seasonal-to-Multiyear Large Ensemble (SMYLE) Prediction System using the Community Earth System Model Version 2,” Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 6451–6493. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-6451-2022
Wu, X., Y. M. Okumura, P. N. DiNezio, S. G. Yeager, and C. Deser, 2022: “The Equatorial Pacific Cold Tongue Bias in CESM1 and its Influence on ENSO Forecasts,” J. Climate, 35, 3261–3277. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0470.1

Wu, X., Y. M. Okumura, C. Deser, and P. N. DiNezio, 2021: “Two-year Dynamical Predictions of ENSO Event Duration during 1954–2015,” J. Climate, 34, 4069–4087. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0619.1
Wu, X., Y. M. Okumura, and P. N. DiNezio, 2021: “Predictability of El Niño Duration based on the Onset Timing,” J. Climate, 34, 1351–1366. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0963.1
Wu, X., Y. M. Okumura, and P. N. DiNezio, 2019: “What Controls the Duration of El Niño and La Niña Events?” J. Climate, 32, 5941–5965. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0681.1
Okumura, Y. M., T. Sun, and X. Wu, 2017: “Asymmetric Modulation of El Niño and La Niña and the Linkage to Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability,” J. Climate, 30, 4705–4733. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0680.1